League Two — England
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • The Croud Meadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.33) 1.45 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.9% 26.8% 51.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 2
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 10.5% 15.1% 11.0% 5.3% 1.9% 0.6%
1 8.5% 12.3% 8.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.4% 5.0% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShrewsburySwindon Town
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack33%100%
Defense0%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shrewsbury Swindon Town
HATHAT
Played151530161531
Wins33%7%20%63%53%58%
Draws33%20%27%19%7%13%
Loses33%73%53%19%40%29%

Form: Shrewsbury: DLLLLDWLLLDWWDLWLDDDLLLLWLLDLW • Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWLDDWDDWLWWLWWLLLWWWW

League goals

Metric Shrewsbury Swindon Town
HATHAT
GF total131225292352
GF avg0.90.80.81.81.51.7
GA total163450161834
GA avg1.12.31.71.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShrewsburySwindon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%73%84%65%
1.517%50%61%32%
2.57%30%23%10%
3.50%10%0%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShrewsburySwindon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets7186511
Failed to score6612325

Penalties

MetricShrewsburySwindon Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricShrewsburySwindon Town
Wins24
Draws32
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-35-10-24-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricShrewsburySwindon Town
Form25%75%
Att23%77%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total34.8%65.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Swindon Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ 888Sport
Draw3.48 @ Pinnacle
Away2.46 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ SBO
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Shrewsbury = 0.81 (league 1.33), Swindon Town = 1.45 (league 1.14)

Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 10.5% 15.1% 11.0% 5.3% 1.9% 0.6%
1 8.5% 12.3% 8.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.4% 5.0% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.9% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 51.9%

vtt 3 , vtd1