League Two — England
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Stadium MK
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.80 (league 1.36) 0.88 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.7% 13.8% 9.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.9%
3 - 0
9.2%
2 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.1% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.9% 8.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.2% 8.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMilton Keynes DonsNewport County
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack100%33%
Defense44%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Newport County
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins53%47%50%13%20%17%
Draws27%33%30%27%13%20%
Loses20%20%20%60%67%63%

Form: Milton Keynes Dons: DWWDWLLDLWWWWLDWDWLDWWDLDWWWDW • Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWLLLDDLLDWLLWLLDL

League goals

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Newport County
HATHAT
GF total293059141529
GF avg1.92.02.00.91.01.0
GA total151833263056
GA avg1.01.21.11.72.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMilton Keynes DonsNewport County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%70%63%83%
1.563%33%30%60%
2.523%7%3%30%
3.513%0%0%13%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMilton Keynes DonsNewport County
HATHAT
Clean sheets549325
Failed to score2136511

Penalties

MetricMilton Keynes DonsNewport County
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total60

Streaks

MetricMilton Keynes DonsNewport County
Wins41
Draws12
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-42-00-3
Biggest losses2-33-21-44-1
Goals For5423
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricMilton Keynes DonsNewport County
Form76%24%
Att81%19%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total69.3%30.7%

Advice: Winner : Milton Keynes Dons

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Unibet
Draw5.26 @ Pinnacle
Away9.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Betano
Under 2.52.20 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Betfair
No1.88 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Milton Keynes Dons = 2.80 (league 1.36), Newport County = 0.88 (league 1.14)

Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.1% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.9% 8.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.2% 8.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.7% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 9.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1