League Two — England
Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:45 • Peninsula Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.35) 0.94 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.2% 19.9% 15.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.5%
1 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salford City 0 4.7% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.9% 9.4% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.4% 7.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalford CityNewport County
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack60%10%
Defense60%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salford City Newport County
HATHAT
Played141529151631
Wins57%53%55%13%19%16%
Draws21%7%14%27%13%19%
Loses21%40%31%60%69%65%

Form: Salford City: LWWWLDWWWLLLWWDLLWDWWWDWWWLWL • Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWLLLDDLLDWLLWLLDLL

League goals

Metric Salford City Newport County
HATHAT
GF total212041141529
GF avg1.51.31.40.90.90.9
GA total171835263157
GA avg1.21.21.21.71.91.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalford CityNewport County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%76%61%84%
1.541%34%29%58%
2.524%10%3%29%
3.57%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalford CityNewport County
HATHAT
Clean sheets527325
Failed to score4596612

Penalties

MetricSalford CityNewport County
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricSalford CityNewport County
Wins31
Draws12
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-00-3
Biggest losses1-32-01-44-1
Goals For4323
Goals Against3244

Model comparison

MetricSalford CityNewport County
Form90%10%
Att86%14%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h71%29%
Goals55%45%
Total73.7%26.3%

Advice: Double chance : Salford City or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Unibet
Draw5.51 @ Pinnacle
Away9.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.38 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Salford City = 2.12 (league 1.35), Newport County = 0.94 (league 1.14)

Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salford City 0 4.7% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.9% 9.4% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.4% 7.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.2% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 15.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1