League Two — England
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 • Colchester Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.36) 1.23 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 23.7% 27.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Salford City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 5.2% 6.4% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.0% 11.0% 6.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.5% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.4% 5.5% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricColchesterSalford City
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack70%60%
Defense60%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Colchester Salford City
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins50%31%41%50%50%50%
Draws25%38%31%19%6%13%
Loses25%31%28%31%44%38%

Form: Colchester: DDWLLDDLDLWWWDLWWWDLWDDWWWLLWLDW • Salford City: LWWWLDWWWLLLWWDLLWDWWWDWWWLWLLLL

League goals

Metric Colchester Salford City
HATHAT
GF total282048232245
GF avg1.81.31.51.41.41.4
GA total161834222143
GA avg1.01.11.11.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineColchesterSalford City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%72%78%
1.541%19%41%41%
2.519%6%22%16%
3.59%6%6%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricColchesterSalford City
HATHAT
Clean sheets448527
Failed to score448459

Penalties

MetricColchesterSalford City
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricColchesterSalford City
Wins33
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-33-11-3
Biggest losses0-24-21-32-0
Goals For6343
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricColchesterSalford City
Form70%30%
Att54%46%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Colchester or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Betfair
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away3.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Colchester = 1.72 (league 1.36), Salford City = 1.23 (league 1.14)

Salford City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 5.2% 6.4% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.0% 11.0% 6.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.5% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.4% 5.5% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 27.2%

vtt 2 , vtd1