League Two — England
Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:45 • Colchester Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.35) 0.61 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.6% 17.9% 9.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.6%
1 - 0
13.7%
3 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Crawley Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 6.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.7% 8.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.6% 8.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricColchesterCrawley Town
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack44%19%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Colchester Crawley Town
HATHAT
Played171835181836
Wins47%33%40%22%11%17%
Draws24%33%29%39%22%31%
Loses29%33%31%39%67%53%

Form: Colchester: DDWLLDDLDLWWWDLWWWDLWDDWWWLLWLDWLLW • Crawley Town: LLLDLDWWLLLDLWWDDLLDLDLLLLWDWLLLDDLD

League goals

Metric Colchester Crawley Town
HATHAT
GF total282250231235
GF avg1.61.21.41.30.71.0
GA total172239253358
GA avg1.01.21.11.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineColchesterCrawley Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%77%64%81%
1.540%20%25%53%
2.517%9%6%22%
3.59%6%3%6%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricColchesterCrawley Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets448347
Failed to score551031013

Penalties

MetricColchesterCrawley Town
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricColchesterCrawley Town
Wins32
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-34-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-00-34-0
Goals For6343
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricColchesterCrawley Town
Form70%30%
Att70%30%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total61.7%38.3%

Advice: Double chance : Colchester or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.89 @ Pinnacle
Away4.45 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Colchester = 2.14 (league 1.35), Crawley Town = 0.61 (league 1.14)

Crawley Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 6.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.7% 8.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.6% 8.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.6% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 9.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1