League Two — England
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 12:30 • Meadow Lane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.34) 1.10 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.2% 20.1% 18.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 3.9% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 8.3% 9.1% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.5% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNotts CountyChesterfield
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack62%54%
Defense69%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Notts County Chesterfield
HATHAT
Played181735181836
Wins61%47%54%44%33%39%
Draws17%24%20%39%39%39%
Loses22%29%26%17%28%22%

Form: Notts County: DLLWDWWLWLWWDWWDLWWWDLDLWWWWWWDLWLW • Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLWDDDWDLDWWWLDDDLWDWDWDLWL

League goals

Metric Notts County Chesterfield
HATHAT
GF total332154322557
GF avg1.81.21.51.81.41.6
GA total161834192847
GA avg0.91.11.01.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNotts CountyChesterfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%71%89%72%
1.546%23%47%33%
2.514%3%19%14%
3.59%0%3%6%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNotts CountyChesterfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets73106410
Failed to score336224

Penalties

MetricNotts CountyChesterfield
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricNotts CountyChesterfield
Wins63
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-24-10-2
Biggest losses1-32-02-36-2
Goals For5243
Goals Against3236

Model comparison

MetricNotts CountyChesterfield
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Notts County or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away3.39 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Notts County = 2.16 (league 1.34), Chesterfield = 1.10 (league 1.15)

Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 3.9% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 8.3% 9.1% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.5% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.2% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 18.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1