League Two — England
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:45 • The Wham Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.35) 0.94 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.1% 31.6% 33.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
14.6%
1 - 0
14.3%
0 - 1
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Notts County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 14.6% 13.8% 6.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.0% 6.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAccrington STNotts County
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack22%100%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Accrington ST Notts County
HATHAT
Played181836191736
Wins44%28%36%58%47%53%
Draws22%28%25%16%24%19%
Loses33%44%39%26%29%28%

Form: Accrington ST: DLLDDLWWLLLWLDDWDWWLLWWWLDWWWLWLLLDD • Notts County: DLLWDWWLWLWWDWWDLWWWDLDLWWWWWWDLWLWL

League goals

Metric Accrington ST Notts County
HATHAT
GF total211738352156
GF avg1.20.91.11.81.21.6
GA total172037191837
GA avg0.91.11.01.01.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAccrington STNotts County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%69%83%72%
1.522%28%47%25%
2.514%6%14%6%
3.56%0%8%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAccrington STNotts County
HATHAT
Clean sheets56117310
Failed to score5813336

Penalties

MetricAccrington STNotts County
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricAccrington STNotts County
Wins36
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-45-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-32-0
Goals For4452
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricAccrington STNotts County
Form25%75%
Att18%82%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h29%71%
Goals29%71%
Total33.2%66.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Notts County

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.95 @ 10Bet
Draw3.40 @ Betfair
Away2.01 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Accrington ST = 0.98 (league 1.35), Notts County = 0.94 (league 1.14)

Notts County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 14.6% 13.8% 6.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.0% 6.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.1% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 33.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1