League Two — England
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:45 • EV Charger Points Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.34) 1.58 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.8% 25.1% 48.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Crewe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cheltenham 0 7.0% 11.1% 8.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.1% 6.4% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCheltenhamCrewe
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack100%56%
Defense22%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cheltenham Crewe
HATHAT
Played171936191837
Wins41%21%31%53%33%43%
Draws12%32%22%21%22%22%
Loses47%47%47%26%44%35%

Form: Cheltenham: LLLLLDWLLLWDWWLLWLWDWWLLWLLLLDDWDDDW • Crewe: WWWWLLDLLWWLLWWDDLDWDLLWDWLDWDWWLWWLL

League goals

Metric Cheltenham Crewe
HATHAT
GF total211940302353
GF avg1.21.01.11.61.31.4
GA total233659242246
GA avg1.41.91.61.31.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCheltenhamCrewe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%75%73%84%
1.531%50%41%30%
2.58%19%22%11%
3.50%8%8%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCheltenhamCrewe
HATHAT
Clean sheets549426
Failed to score55104610

Penalties

MetricCheltenhamCrewe
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricCheltenhamCrewe
Wins24
Draws32
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-11-4
Biggest losses0-37-10-33-1
Goals For3244
Goals Against3733

Model comparison

MetricCheltenhamCrewe
Form60%40%
Att67%33%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Cheltenham or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away2.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.00 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cheltenham = 1.08 (league 1.34), Crewe = 1.58 (league 1.15)

Crewe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cheltenham 0 7.0% 11.1% 8.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.1% 6.4% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.8% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 48.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1