League Two — England
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:45 • SMH Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.33) 1.05 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.6% 28.5% 31.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Oldham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 10.3% 10.9% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.2% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.6% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChesterfieldOldham
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense22%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chesterfield Oldham
HATHAT
Played181937181735
Wins44%37%41%39%35%37%
Draws39%37%38%39%35%37%
Loses17%26%22%22%29%26%

Form: Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLWDDDWDLDWWWLDDDLWDWDWDLWLW • Oldham: DDLDDLWWWDLDLDWDWLLDWDWDWLLLDWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Chesterfield Oldham
HATHAT
GF total322860211940
GF avg1.81.51.61.21.11.1
GA total193049151631
GA avg1.11.61.30.80.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChesterfieldOldham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%73%66%57%
1.549%35%34%20%
2.522%14%14%11%
3.53%5%0%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChesterfieldOldham
HATHAT
Clean sheets64107815
Failed to score2245712

Penalties

MetricChesterfieldOldham
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricChesterfieldOldham
Wins33
Draws32
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-00-3
Biggest losses2-36-20-33-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against3633

Model comparison

MetricChesterfieldOldham
Form35%65%
Att50%50%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total43.2%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Oldham

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Betfair
Draw3.64 @ Pinnacle
Away3.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.93 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chesterfield = 1.22 (league 1.33), Oldham = 1.05 (league 1.15)

Oldham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 10.3% 10.9% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.2% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.6% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 31.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1