League Two — England
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:45 • Priestfield Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.33) 2.23 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.7% 19.9% 56.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
8.6%
0 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gillingham 0 3.0% 6.7% 7.5% 5.6% 3.1% 1.4%
1 3.8% 8.6% 9.5% 7.1% 4.0% 1.8%
2 2.4% 5.4% 6.0% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.0% 2.3% 2.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGillinghamSwindon Town
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack33%78%
Defense0%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gillingham Swindon Town
HATHAT
Played181836191837
Wins33%28%31%53%50%51%
Draws39%28%33%21%11%16%
Loses28%44%36%26%39%32%

Form: Gillingham: DWDWWWDWWLLDLLWDDDDDLDDLWWLLWLLLWDLL • Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWLDDWDDWLWWLWWLLLWWWWLWLDDL

League goals

Metric Gillingham Swindon Town
HATHAT
GF total241943322860
GF avg1.31.11.21.71.61.6
GA total282452212445
GA avg1.61.31.41.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGillinghamSwindon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%78%86%70%
1.528%36%57%38%
2.514%17%19%11%
3.53%8%0%3%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGillinghamSwindon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets3586511
Failed to score279325

Penalties

MetricGillinghamSwindon Town
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total84

Streaks

MetricGillinghamSwindon Town
Wins34
Draws52
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-33-00-3
Biggest losses1-55-00-24-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against5534

Model comparison

MetricGillinghamSwindon Town
Form44%56%
Att30%70%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Swindon Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Bet365
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away2.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Gillingham = 1.27 (league 1.33), Swindon Town = 2.23 (league 1.15)

Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gillingham 0 3.0% 6.7% 7.5% 5.6% 3.1% 1.4%
1 3.8% 8.6% 9.5% 7.1% 4.0% 1.8%
2 2.4% 5.4% 6.0% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.0% 2.3% 2.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.7% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 56.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1