League Two — England
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:45 • Blundell Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.34) 0.78 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.3% 31.1% 25.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.7%
0 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Fleetwood Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grimsby 0 14.9% 11.6% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.7% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.4% 7.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGrimsbyFleetwood Town
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack67%44%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Grimsby Fleetwood Town
HATHAT
Played181836191837
Wins44%39%42%37%33%35%
Draws28%33%31%37%28%32%
Loses28%28%28%26%39%32%

Form: Grimsby: WDWWDLWDLWWLWLDLDLDLLDWWWWWDDWDLWWDL • Fleetwood Town: WWDLDWLDLWLWDWLDWLDWWLDLLLWLLDWWDWDDD

League goals

Metric Grimsby Fleetwood Town
HATHAT
GF total272350291847
GF avg1.51.31.41.51.01.3
GA total172340271845
GA avg0.91.31.11.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGrimsbyFleetwood Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%64%81%78%
1.536%36%32%38%
2.514%11%11%3%
3.53%0%3%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGrimsbyFleetwood Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets6713268
Failed to score448347

Penalties

MetricGrimsbyFleetwood Town
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricGrimsbyFleetwood Town
Wins52
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-10-24-20-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-42-0
Goals For7342
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricGrimsbyFleetwood Town
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Grimsby or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away3.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Grimsby = 1.12 (league 1.34), Fleetwood Town = 0.78 (league 1.15)

Fleetwood Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grimsby 0 14.9% 11.6% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.7% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.4% 7.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 25.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1