League Two — England
Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 15:00 • The Broadfield Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.34) 1.34 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.8% 26.3% 38.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Gillingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crawley Town 0 7.4% 9.9% 6.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.5% 8.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 5.9% 7.9% 5.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrawley TownGillingham
Played55
Form20%7%
Attack19%19%
Defense63%6%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.215 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crawley Town Gillingham
HATHAT
Played192039201838
Wins21%10%15%30%28%29%
Draws42%25%33%35%28%32%
Loses37%65%51%35%44%39%

Form: Crawley Town: LLLDLDWWLLLDLWWDDLLDLDLLLLWDWLLLDDLDDDL • Gillingham: DWDWWWDWWLLDLLWDDDDDLDDLWWLLWLLLWDLLLL

League goals

Metric Crawley Town Gillingham
HATHAT
GF total241236251944
GF avg1.30.60.91.31.11.2
GA total263460322456
GA avg1.41.71.51.61.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrawley TownGillingham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%79%74%79%
1.523%49%26%39%
2.55%21%13%16%
3.53%5%3%8%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrawley TownGillingham
HATHAT
Clean sheets358358
Failed to score312153710

Penalties

MetricCrawley TownGillingham
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total39

Streaks

MetricCrawley TownGillingham
Wins23
Draws35
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-14-10-3
Biggest losses0-34-01-55-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against3455

Model comparison

MetricCrawley TownGillingham
Form75%25%
Att50%50%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Double chance : Crawley Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away2.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Crawley Town = 1.26 (league 1.34), Gillingham = 1.34 (league 1.15)

Gillingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crawley Town 0 7.4% 9.9% 6.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.5% 8.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 5.9% 7.9% 5.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.8% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 38.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1