League Two — England
Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 15:00 • County Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.34) 0.87 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.5% 28.8% 25.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Fleetwood Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 11.8% 10.2% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.9% 13.0% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.5% 8.3% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwindon TownFleetwood Town
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack54%31%
Defense62%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swindon Town Fleetwood Town
HATHAT
Played192039201939
Wins53%55%54%40%32%36%
Draws21%10%15%35%26%31%
Loses26%35%31%25%42%33%

Form: Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWLDDWDDWLWWLWWLLLWWWWLWLDDLWW • Fleetwood Town: WWDLDWLDLWLWDWLDWLDWWLDLLLWLLDWWDWDDDLW

League goals

Metric Swindon Town Fleetwood Town
HATHAT
GF total323163301848
GF avg1.71.61.61.50.91.2
GA total212445271946
GA avg1.11.21.21.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwindon TownFleetwood Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%67%79%77%
1.556%36%31%36%
2.518%10%10%3%
3.50%3%3%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwindon TownFleetwood Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets6713369
Failed to score325358

Penalties

MetricSwindon TownFleetwood Town
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricSwindon TownFleetwood Town
Wins42
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-20-2
Biggest losses0-24-01-42-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricSwindon TownFleetwood Town
Form57%43%
Att64%36%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h71%29%
Goals77%23%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : Swindon Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ 10Bet
Draw3.55 @ Dafabet
Away3.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Swindon Town = 1.27 (league 1.34), Fleetwood Town = 0.87 (league 1.14)

Fleetwood Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 11.8% 10.2% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.9% 13.0% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.5% 8.3% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.5% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 25.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1