League Two — England
Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 14:00 • Rodney Parade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.35) 0.84 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.1% 29.0% 24.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Crawley Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 12.2% 10.2% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.4% 12.9% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.7% 8.2% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CountyCrawley Town
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack56%56%
Defense33%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport County Crawley Town
HATHAT
Played202040202040
Wins20%25%23%25%10%18%
Draws20%15%18%40%25%33%
Loses60%60%60%35%65%50%

Form: Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWLLLDDLLDWLLWLLDLLWLDWLWLLW • Crawley Town: LLLDLDWWLLLDLWWDDLLDLDLLLLWDWLLLDDLDDDLW

League goals

Metric Newport County Crawley Town
HATHAT
GF total192140261238
GF avg1.01.11.01.30.61.0
GA total323567263460
GA avg1.61.81.71.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CountyCrawley Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%83%63%78%
1.530%53%25%48%
2.58%23%5%20%
3.50%10%3%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CountyCrawley Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets437459
Failed to score871531215

Penalties

MetricNewport CountyCrawley Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricNewport CountyCrawley Town
Wins12
Draws23
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-00-1
Biggest losses1-44-10-34-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricNewport CountyCrawley Town
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h29%71%
Goals32%68%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Crawley Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport County = 1.26 (league 1.35), Crawley Town = 0.84 (league 1.14)

Crawley Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 12.2% 10.2% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.4% 12.9% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.7% 8.2% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.1% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 24.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1