League Two — England
Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 14:00 • The Broadfield Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.33) 1.48 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.3% 25.4% 41.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
9.5%
1 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Grimsby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crawley Town 0 6.4% 9.5% 7.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.0% 8.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.2% 7.6% 5.6% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.2% 3.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrawley TownGrimsby
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack50%80%
Defense80%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crawley Town Grimsby
HATHAT
Played202141211839
Wins25%14%20%48%39%44%
Draws40%24%32%24%33%28%
Loses35%62%49%29%28%28%

Form: Crawley Town: LLLDLDWWLLLDLWWDDLLDLDLLLLWDWLLLDDLDDDLWW • Grimsby: WDWWDLWDLWWLWLDLDLDLLDWWWWWDDWDLWWDLWWL

League goals

Metric Crawley Town Grimsby
HATHAT
GF total261440342357
GF avg1.30.71.01.61.31.5
GA total263460202343
GA avg1.31.61.51.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrawley TownGrimsby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%76%79%62%
1.527%46%36%36%
2.55%20%15%13%
3.52%5%5%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrawley TownGrimsby
HATHAT
Clean sheets46108715
Failed to score31215448

Penalties

MetricCrawley TownGrimsby
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricCrawley TownGrimsby
Wins25
Draws32
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-27-10-2
Biggest losses0-34-01-33-0
Goals For4373
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricCrawley TownGrimsby
Form53%47%
Att38%62%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Grimsby

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Dafabet
Away2.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crawley Town = 1.27 (league 1.33), Grimsby = 1.48 (league 1.14)

Grimsby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crawley Town 0 6.4% 9.5% 7.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.0% 8.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.2% 7.6% 5.6% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.2% 3.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.3% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 41.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1