League Two — England
Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 14:00 • Priestfield Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.33) 1.26 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.0% 27.4% 38.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
11.1%
1 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Accrington ST
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gillingham 0 8.8% 11.1% 7.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.3% 13.0% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.0% 7.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.3% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGillinghamAccrington ST
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack30%20%
Defense0%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gillingham Accrington ST
HATHAT
Played202040211940
Wins30%25%28%43%26%35%
Draws35%30%33%19%26%23%
Loses35%45%40%38%47%43%

Form: Gillingham: DWDWWWDWWLLDLLWDDDDDLDDLWWLLWLLLWDLLLLLD • Accrington ST: DLLDDLWWLLLWLDDWDWWLLWWWLDWWWLWLLLDDLLLW

League goals

Metric Gillingham Accrington ST
HATHAT
GF total252146231740
GF avg1.31.11.21.10.91.0
GA total322860222244
GA avg1.61.41.51.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGillinghamAccrington ST
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%80%60%70%
1.528%43%23%30%
2.513%15%13%8%
3.53%8%5%3%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGillinghamAccrington ST
HATHAT
Clean sheets3586612
Failed to score38117916

Penalties

MetricGillinghamAccrington ST
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total92

Streaks

MetricGillinghamAccrington ST
Wins33
Draws52
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-34-01-4
Biggest losses1-55-00-42-0
Goals For4344
Goals Against5543

Model comparison

MetricGillinghamAccrington ST
Form20%80%
Att60%40%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : Gillingham or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ SBO
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Gillingham = 1.17 (league 1.33), Accrington ST = 1.26 (league 1.14)

Accrington ST
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gillingham 0 8.8% 11.1% 7.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.3% 13.0% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.0% 7.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.3% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 38.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1