League Two — England
Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 14:00 • Meadow Lane
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.70 (league 1.33) 1.06 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.3% 15.6% 12.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
2 - 0
8.5%
3 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 2.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.3% 6.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.0% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.6% 8.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.1% 5.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.8% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNotts CountyNewport County
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack100%40%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Notts County Newport County
HATHAT
Played202141212041
Wins60%48%54%19%25%22%
Draws15%19%17%19%15%17%
Loses25%33%29%62%60%61%

Form: Notts County: DLLWDWWLWLWWDWWDLWWWDLDLWWWWWWDLWLWLWWLWL • Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWLLLDDLLDWLLWLLDLLWLDWLWLLWL

League goals

Metric Notts County Newport County
HATHAT
GF total402868192140
GF avg2.01.31.70.91.11.0
GA total212344343569
GA avg1.11.11.11.61.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNotts CountyNewport County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%71%61%83%
1.549%29%29%54%
2.517%7%7%22%
3.512%0%0%10%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNotts CountyNewport County
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512437
Failed to score3479716

Penalties

MetricNotts CountyNewport County
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricNotts CountyNewport County
Wins61
Draws12
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-43-10-3
Biggest losses1-33-01-44-1
Goals For5433
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricNotts CountyNewport County
Form60%40%
Att75%25%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h85%15%
Goals82%18%
Total70.3%29.7%

Advice: Winner : Notts County

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.56 @ Dafabet
Draw4.33 @ Betfair
Away6.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Notts County = 2.70 (league 1.33), Newport County = 1.06 (league 1.14)

Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 2.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.3% 6.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.0% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.6% 8.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.1% 5.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.8% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.3% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 12.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1