League Two — England
Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 14:00 • The Wham Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.33) 0.79 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.5% 35.2% 31.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.0%
1 - 0
16.5%
0 - 1
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Fleetwood Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 20.0% 15.7% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.5% 13.0% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 6.8% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAccrington STFleetwood Town
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack20%20%
Defense30%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Accrington ST Fleetwood Town
HATHAT
Played211940202141
Wins43%26%35%40%29%34%
Draws19%26%23%35%29%32%
Loses38%47%43%25%43%34%

Form: Accrington ST: DLLDDLWWLLLWLDDWDWWLLWWWLDWWWLWLLLDDLLLW • Fleetwood Town: WWDLDWLDLWLWDWLDWLDWWLDLLLWLLDWWDWDDDLWDL

League goals

Metric Accrington ST Fleetwood Town
HATHAT
GF total231740301949
GF avg1.10.91.01.50.91.2
GA total222244272148
GA avg1.01.21.11.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAccrington STFleetwood Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%70%78%78%
1.523%30%29%34%
2.513%8%10%2%
3.55%3%2%2%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAccrington STFleetwood Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612369
Failed to score7916369

Penalties

MetricAccrington STFleetwood Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAccrington STFleetwood Town
Wins32
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-44-20-2
Biggest losses0-42-01-42-0
Goals For4442
Goals Against4342

Model comparison

MetricAccrington STFleetwood Town
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h7%93%
Goals32%68%
Total35.7%64.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fleetwood Town and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Accrington ST = 0.82 (league 1.33), Fleetwood Town = 0.79 (league 1.14)

Fleetwood Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 20.0% 15.7% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.5% 13.0% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 6.8% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.5% · Draw 35.2% · Away win 31.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1