League Two — England
Fri, Apr 10 2026 • 18:45 • Colchester Community Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.33) 1.44 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.0% 25.3% 39.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 6.1% 8.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.3% 11.9% 8.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.6% 8.1% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.5% 3.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricColchesterSwindon Town
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack20%47%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Colchester Swindon Town
HATHAT
Played202141212142
Wins40%33%37%52%52%52%
Draws30%29%29%24%14%19%
Loses30%38%34%24%33%29%

Form: Colchester: DDWLLDDLDLWWWDLWWWDLWDDWWWLLWLDWLLWDLLDLW • Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWLDDWDDWLWWLWWLLLWWWWLWLDDLWWDDW

League goals

Metric Colchester Swindon Town
HATHAT
GF total302353353267
GF avg1.51.11.31.71.51.6
GA total212445232548
GA avg1.11.11.11.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineColchesterSwindon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%76%88%69%
1.534%20%55%33%
2.515%10%17%10%
3.57%5%0%2%
4.52%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricColchesterSwindon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets55106713
Failed to score6713325

Penalties

MetricColchesterSwindon Town
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricColchesterSwindon Town
Wins34
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-33-00-3
Biggest losses1-33-00-24-0
Goals For6333
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricColchesterSwindon Town
Form27%73%
Att30%70%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h38%62%
Goals56%44%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Swindon Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Dafabet
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away3.05 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 10Bet
No2.06 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Colchester = 1.35 (league 1.33), Swindon Town = 1.44 (league 1.14)

Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 6.1% 8.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.3% 11.9% 8.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.6% 8.1% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.5% 3.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.0% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 39.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1