League Two
— England
Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 11:30 •
County Ground
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.37)
0.85 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.8% | 26.3% | 21.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Accrington ST | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Swindon Town | 0 | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Swindon Town | Accrington ST |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 20% |
| Attack | 36% | 29% |
| Defense | 57% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Swindon Town | Accrington ST | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 22 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| Wins | 52% | 50% | 51% | 41% | 24% | 33% |
| Draws | 24% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 24% | 21% |
| Loses | 24% | 36% | 30% | 41% | 52% | 47% |
Swindon TownLWWLWWWWLWWLDDWDDWLWWLWWLLLWWWWLWLDDLWWDDWL
Accrington STDLLDDLWWLLLWLDDWDWWLLWWWLDWWWLWLLLDDLLLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Swindon Town | Accrington ST | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 35 | 32 | 67 | 24 | 18 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 23 | 28 | 51 | 24 | 26 | 50 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Swindon Town | Accrington ST | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 70% | 60% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 35% | 21% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 12% | 12% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 2% | 5% | 2% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Swindon Town | Accrington ST | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
Penalties
| Metric | Swindon Town | Accrington ST |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Swindon Town | Accrington ST |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Swindon Town | Accrington ST |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 51.7% | 48.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.65 @ 10Bet
Draw4.33 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.90 @ SBO
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No1.95 @ Unibet
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League standings
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