League Two
— England
Sat, May 2 2026 • 14:00 •
The Broadfield Stadium
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.37)
1.33 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.3% | 27.4% | 42.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Salford City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Crawley Town | 0 | 9.2% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Salford City carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 143 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Crawley Town -2.4, Salford City +15.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Crawley Town
vs
Salford City
Elo gapSalford City +143
Home / draw / away25% / 18% / 57%
Expected home share30%
Combined Elo3000.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3000.5
Elo home share
30%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Crawley Town | Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1411.1 | 1589.4 |
| Form Elo | 1415.5 | 1606.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1457.8 | 1542.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1451.9 | 1556.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1433.5 | 1552.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -2.4 | +15.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Crawley Town last-5 Elo change: -2.4; Salford City last-5 Elo change: +15.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Crawley Town | Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 43% | 43% |
| Defense | 43% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Crawley Town | Salford City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 22 | 23 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 45 |
| Wins | 23% | 13% | 18% | 61% | 50% | 56% |
| Draws | 41% | 26% | 33% | 17% | 5% | 11% |
| Loses | 36% | 61% | 49% | 22% | 45% | 33% |
Crawley TownLLLDLDWWLLLDLWWDDLLDLDLLLLWDWLLLDDLDDDLWWLLDD
Salford CityLWWWLDWWWLLLWWDLLWDWWWDWWWLWLLLLWLWWWWLWWLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Crawley Town | Salford City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 18 | 44 | 34 | 27 | 61 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 28 | 40 | 68 | 24 | 27 | 51 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Crawley Town | Salford City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 76% | 73% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 49% | 40% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 22% | 18% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Crawley Town | Salford City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 12 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Crawley Town | Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Crawley Town | Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Crawley Town | Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 40.0% | 60.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away2.00 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.15 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.23 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…