League Two
— England
Sat, May 2 2026 • 14:00 •
Prenton Park
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.37)
2.05 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.1% | 20.3% | 62.8% |
best score tips
0 - 2
11.3%
0 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Grimsby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tranmere | 0 | 5.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Grimsby carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 182 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Tranmere +2.7, Grimsby +36.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Tranmere
vs
Grimsby
Elo gapGrimsby +182
Home / draw / away21% / 18% / 61%
Expected home share26%
Combined Elo2967.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2967.8
Elo home share
26%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Tranmere | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1375.3 | 1592.5 |
| Form Elo | 1363.5 | 1611.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1413.6 | 1557.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1428.5 | 1629.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1375 | 1557.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +2.7 | +36.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Tranmere last-5 Elo change: +2.7; Grimsby last-5 Elo change: +36.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tranmere | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 80% |
| Attack | 36% | 100% |
| Defense | 43% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tranmere | Grimsby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 22 | 23 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 45 |
| Wins | 18% | 26% | 22% | 52% | 45% | 49% |
| Draws | 23% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 27% | 24% |
| Loses | 59% | 52% | 56% | 26% | 27% | 27% |
TranmereDWDWLLDLDDLWDDLWDWWLLWLWLLLLLLWLLLLLDLLLLDLWL
GrimsbyWDWWDLWDLWWLWLDLDLDLLDWWWWWDDWDLWWDLWWLWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Tranmere | Grimsby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 32 | 53 | 41 | 32 | 73 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 36 | 42 | 78 | 22 | 27 | 49 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tranmere | Grimsby | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 82% | 82% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 51% | 42% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 29% | 20% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 9% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 2% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tranmere | Grimsby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tranmere | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tranmere | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 7-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tranmere | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 26% | 74% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 40.0% | 60.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.55 @ 10Bet
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.15 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…