Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 11:30 • King Power Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.82 (league 1.31) 1.60 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.4% 11.4% 10.9%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.6%
4 - 1
6.3%
3 - 2
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
Coventry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leicester 0 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.7% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.2% 5.2% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.1% 6.6% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
4 3.9% 6.3% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
5 3.0% 4.8% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeicesterCoventry
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack80%100%
Defense50%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.615 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leicester Coventry
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%33%60%33%50%40%
Draws0%33%20%67%50%60%
Loses0%33%20%0%0%0%

Form: Leicester: WLWWD • Coventry: DWWDD

League goals

Metric Leicester Coventry
HATHAT
GF total4488715
GF avg2.01.31.62.73.53.0
GA total145257
GA avg0.51.31.00.72.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeicesterCoventry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%80%80%
1.560%40%60%40%
2.50%0%40%20%
3.50%0%40%0%
4.50%0%40%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeicesterCoventry
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricLeicesterCoventry
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLeicesterCoventry
Wins22
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-17-13-5
Biggest losses—2-1——
Goals For2275
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricLeicesterCoventry
Form53%47%
Att35%65%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h75%25%
Goals60%40%
Total59.3%40.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Leicester or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away2.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ 188Bet
No2.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leicester = 3.82 (league 1.31), Coventry = 1.60 (league 1.09)

Coventry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leicester 0 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.7% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.2% 5.2% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.1% 6.6% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
4 3.9% 6.3% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
5 3.0% 4.8% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.4% · Draw 11.4% · Away win 10.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1