Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 19:00 • The Den
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.31) 1.14 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.7% 31.7% 48.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.8%
0 - 0
17.4%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Watford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 17.4% 19.8% 11.3% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.6% 12.1% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.2% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMillwallWatford
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack25%31%
Defense56%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Millwall Watford
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%67%40%33%0%20%
Draws0%33%20%33%50%40%
Loses100%0%40%33%50%40%

Form: Millwall: WLWLD • Watford: LWDDL

League goals

Metric Millwall Watford
HATHAT
GF total044415
GF avg0.01.30.81.30.51.0
GA total527426
GA avg2.50.71.41.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMillwallWatford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%60%100%
1.520%40%40%20%
2.50%20%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMillwallWatford
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score202112

Penalties

MetricMillwallWatford
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMillwallWatford
Wins11
Draws02
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-22-1
Biggest losses0-30-11-0
Goals For0221
Goals Against3121

Model comparison

MetricMillwallWatford
Form58%42%
Att44%56%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Millwall or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ 10Bet
Away4.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Millwall = 0.61 (league 1.31), Watford = 1.14 (league 1.10)

Watford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 17.4% 19.8% 11.3% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.6% 12.1% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.2% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.7% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 48.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1