Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 19:00 • Riverside Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.36) 1.05 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.1% 32.4% 42.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 0
16.8%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
West Brom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middlesbrough 0 16.8% 17.6% 9.3% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.3% 12.9% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.5% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMiddlesbroughWest Brom
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack100%75%
Defense63%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Middlesbrough West Brom
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%67%80%33%100%60%
Draws0%33%20%33%0%20%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%20%

Form: Middlesbrough: WWWWD • West Brom: WWDWL

League goals

Metric Middlesbrough West Brom
HATHAT
GF total279246
GF avg1.02.31.80.72.01.2
GA total033224
GA avg0.01.00.60.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMiddlesbroughWest Brom
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%80%60%
1.560%20%20%20%
2.520%0%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMiddlesbroughWest Brom
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricMiddlesbroughWest Brom
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMiddlesbroughWest Brom
Wins42
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-31-02-3
Biggest losses——0-1—
Goals For1313
Goals Against0212

Model comparison

MetricMiddlesbroughWest Brom
Form57%43%
Att60%40%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Middlesbrough or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Betano
Draw3.45 @ Dafabet
Away3.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ SBO
Under 2.51.87 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ William Hill
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Middlesbrough = 0.73 (league 1.36), West Brom = 1.05 (league 1.14)

West Brom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middlesbrough 0 16.8% 17.6% 9.3% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.3% 12.9% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.5% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 42.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1