Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • The MKM Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.31) 3.42 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.2% 13.9% 57.1%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.7%
1 - 2
5.9%
2 - 3
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hull City 0 0.6% 2.0% 3.5% 3.9% 3.4% 2.3%
1 1.0% 3.5% 5.9% 6.7% 5.8% 3.9%
2 0.9% 3.0% 5.1% 5.8% 4.9% 3.4%
3 0.5% 1.7% 2.9% 3.3% 2.8% 1.9%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHull CitySouthampton
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hull City Southampton
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%33%0%20%
Draws0%67%40%33%100%60%
Loses50%33%40%33%0%20%

Form: Hull City: DWLLD • Southampton: WDLDD

League goals

Metric Hull City Southampton
HATHAT
GF total347336
GF avg1.51.31.41.01.51.2
GA total5611336
GA avg2.52.02.21.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHull CitySouthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%80%80%
1.560%80%40%40%
2.520%40%0%0%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHull CitySouthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricHull CitySouthampton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHull CitySouthampton
Wins11
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-1
Biggest losses0-34-21-2
Goals For3222
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricHull CitySouthampton
Form45%55%
Att54%46%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Southampton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Marathonbet
Away2.33 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.45 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.31 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hull City = 1.71 (league 1.31), Southampton = 3.42 (league 1.10)

Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hull City 0 0.6% 2.0% 3.5% 3.9% 3.4% 2.3%
1 1.0% 3.5% 5.9% 6.7% 5.8% 3.9%
2 0.9% 3.0% 5.1% 5.8% 4.9% 3.4%
3 0.5% 1.7% 2.9% 3.3% 2.8% 1.9%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.2% · Draw 13.9% · Away win 57.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1