Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Pride Park Stadium
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.31) 1.37 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.6% 24.7% 33.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Preston
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby 0 5.6% 7.6% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.5% 11.6% 7.9% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.8% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 3.3% 4.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerbyPreston
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derby Preston
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%67%0%40%
Draws50%33%40%33%50%40%
Loses50%33%40%0%50%20%

Form: Derby: LLDDW • Preston: DWWLD

League goals

Metric Derby Preston
HATHAT
GF total448516
GF avg2.01.31.61.70.51.2
GA total6511325
GA avg3.01.72.21.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerbyPreston
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%80%80%
1.540%60%40%20%
2.520%40%0%0%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerbyPreston
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricDerbyPreston
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricDerbyPreston
Wins02
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-12-1
Biggest losses3-53-11-0
Goals For3221
Goals Against5321

Model comparison

MetricDerbyPreston
Form38%62%
Att57%43%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Preston

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ 1xBet
Draw3.19 @ Pinnacle
Away3.33 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Derby = 1.52 (league 1.31), Preston = 1.37 (league 1.10)

Preston
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby 0 5.6% 7.6% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.5% 11.6% 7.9% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.8% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 3.3% 4.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 33.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1