Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Bet365 Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.31) 1.08 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.4% 32.2% 44.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.3%
0 - 0
16.9%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Norwich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City 0 16.9% 18.3% 9.9% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.8% 12.7% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 4.1% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStoke CityNorwich
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack50%67%
Defense75%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stoke City Norwich
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%67%67%0%67%33%
Draws0%0%0%0%33%17%
Loses33%33%33%100%0%50%

Form: Stoke City: WWWLWL • Norwich: LWLWDL

League goals

Metric Stoke City Norwich
HATHAT
GF total459459
GF avg1.31.71.51.31.71.5
GA total224729
GA avg0.70.70.72.30.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStoke CityNorwich
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%83%
1.550%0%50%50%
2.533%0%0%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStoke CityNorwich
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricStoke CityNorwich
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricStoke CityNorwich
Wins31
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-30-2
Biggest losses0-11-02-3
Goals For3322
Goals Against1131

Model comparison

MetricStoke CityNorwich
Form56%44%
Att43%57%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Norwich

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ 188Bet
Draw3.73 @ Pinnacle
Away4.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stoke City = 0.70 (league 1.31), Norwich = 1.08 (league 1.10)

Norwich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City 0 16.9% 18.3% 9.9% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.8% 12.7% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 4.1% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 44.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1