Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Vicarage Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.31) 1.55 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.4% 21.7% 29.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Hull City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 2.9% 4.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.8% 9.0% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.8% 5.9% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.9% 2.9% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWatfordHull City
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack50%100%
Defense40%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Watford Hull City
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%67%0%33%
Draws33%33%33%0%67%33%
Loses33%67%50%33%33%33%

Form: Watford: LWDDLL • Hull City: DWLLDW

League goals

Metric Watford Hull City
HATHAT
GF total4156410
GF avg1.30.30.82.01.31.7
GA total4376612
GA avg1.31.01.22.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWatfordHull City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%67%83%
1.533%17%67%67%
2.50%0%33%33%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWatfordHull City
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricWatfordHull City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWatfordHull City
Wins11
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-1—
Biggest losses0-11-00-34-2
Goals For2132
Goals Against2134

Model comparison

MetricWatfordHull City
Form42%58%
Att33%67%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Double chance : Watford or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.43 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Marathonbet
Away3.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.18 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Watford = 1.99 (league 1.31), Hull City = 1.55 (league 1.09)

Hull City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 2.9% 4.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.8% 9.0% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.8% 5.9% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.9% 2.9% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.4% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 29.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1