Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 11:30 • Coventry Building Society Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.67 (league 1.31) 0.45 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.9% 11.5% 4.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.8%
3 - 0
14.1%
1 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Birmingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coventry 0 4.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.8% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 7.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.1% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.4% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCoventryBirmingham
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack100%33%
Defense42%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 34 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Coventry Birmingham
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%67%33%50%
Draws67%67%67%33%0%17%
Loses0%0%0%0%67%33%

Form: Coventry: DWWDDD • Birmingham: DWWLLW

League goals

Metric Coventry Birmingham
HATHAT
GF total8715325
GF avg2.72.32.51.00.70.8
GA total257145
GA avg0.71.71.20.31.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCoventryBirmingham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%67%
1.550%33%17%17%
2.533%17%0%0%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.533%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCoventryBirmingham
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricCoventryBirmingham
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCoventryBirmingham
Wins22
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-13-51-01-2
Biggest losses2-0
Goals For7512
Goals Against1312

Model comparison

MetricCoventryBirmingham
Form50%50%
Att79%21%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total64.5%35.5%

Advice: Winner : Coventry

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away3.70 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Coventry = 2.67 (league 1.31), Birmingham = 0.45 (league 1.10)

Birmingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coventry 0 4.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.8% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 7.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.1% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.4% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.9% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 4.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1