Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Kassam Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.17 (league 1.38) 0.30 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.6% 15.0% 4.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.8%
1 - 0
18.3%
3 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sheffield Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 8.5% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.3% 5.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.8% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.3% 4.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOxford UnitedSheffield Utd
Played55
Form33%0%
Attack90%0%
Defense10%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.80 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oxford United Sheffield Utd
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%33%17%0%0%0%
Draws67%0%33%0%0%0%
Loses33%67%50%100%100%100%

Form: Oxford United: LLLDDW • Sheffield Utd: LLLLLL

League goals

Metric Oxford United Sheffield Utd
HATHAT
GF total459101
GF avg1.31.71.50.30.00.2
GA total55106713
GA avg1.71.71.72.02.32.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOxford UnitedSheffield Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%17%100%
1.567%50%0%33%
2.517%17%0%33%
3.50%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOxford UnitedSheffield Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score112235

Penalties

MetricOxford UnitedSheffield Utd
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOxford UnitedSheffield Utd
Wins00
Draws20
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-3——
Biggest losses0-13-21-45-0
Goals For2310
Goals Against2345

Model comparison

MetricOxford UnitedSheffield Utd
Form100%0%
Att100%0%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals27%73%
Total32.3%67.7%

Advice: Winner : Oxford United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Bet365
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away2.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Oxford United = 2.17 (league 1.38), Sheffield Utd = 0.30 (league 1.12)

Sheffield Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 8.5% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.3% 5.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.8% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.3% 4.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.6% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 4.0%

vtt 3 , vtd1