Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:45 • Bramall Lane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.31) 2.36 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.5% 14.4% 76.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.6%
0 - 1
14.0%
0 - 3
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sheffield Utd 0 5.9% 14.0% 16.6% 13.1% 7.7% 3.7%
1 2.7% 6.5% 7.6% 6.0% 3.6% 1.7%
2 0.6% 1.5% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSheffield UtdSouthampton
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack11%56%
Defense11%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sheffield Utd Southampton
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%25%14%25%0%14%
Draws0%0%0%50%67%57%
Loses100%75%86%25%33%29%

Form: Sheffield Utd: LLLLLLW • Southampton: WDLDDLD

League goals

Metric Sheffield Utd Southampton
HATHAT
GF total112448
GF avg0.30.30.31.01.31.1
GA total67134610
GA avg2.01.81.91.02.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSheffield UtdSouthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.529%86%86%86%
1.50%29%29%43%
2.50%29%0%14%
3.50%29%0%0%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSheffield UtdSouthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score235101

Penalties

MetricSheffield UtdSouthampton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSheffield UtdSouthampton
Wins01
Draws02
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-12-1
Biggest losses1-45-01-23-1
Goals For1122
Goals Against4523

Model comparison

MetricSheffield UtdSouthampton
Form50%50%
Att17%83%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h7%93%
Goals21%79%
Total27.5%72.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Southampton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ 10Bet
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sheffield Utd = 0.46 (league 1.31), Southampton = 2.36 (league 1.10)

Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sheffield Utd 0 5.9% 14.0% 16.6% 13.1% 7.7% 3.7%
1 2.7% 6.5% 7.6% 6.0% 3.6% 1.7%
2 0.6% 1.5% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.5% · Draw 14.4% · Away win 76.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1