Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 19:00 • Loftus Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.31) 1.08 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.5% 19.5% 17.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.1%
1 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Oxford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
QPR 0 3.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.2% 8.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.8% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQPROxford United
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack82%64%
Defense9%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric QPR Oxford United
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%25%43%0%33%14%
Draws33%25%29%50%0%29%
Loses0%50%29%50%67%57%

Form: QPR: DLLWWWD • Oxford United: LLLDDWL

League goals

Metric QPR Oxford United
HATHAT
GF total5611459
GF avg1.71.51.61.01.71.3
GA total211136511
GA avg0.72.81.91.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQPROxford United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%86%57%100%
1.529%29%57%43%
2.529%14%14%14%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQPROxford United
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricQPROxford United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricQPROxford United
Wins31
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-31-3
Biggest losses7-10-13-2
Goals For3323
Goals Against1723

Model comparison

MetricQPROxford United
Form67%33%
Att56%44%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : QPR or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away3.55 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): QPR = 2.21 (league 1.31), Oxford United = 1.08 (league 1.10)

Oxford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
QPR 0 3.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.2% 8.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.8% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.5% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 17.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1