Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 18:45 • Fratton Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.31) 0.36 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.5% 49.3% 19.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
41.1%
1 - 0
21.9%
0 - 1
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Watford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth 0 41.1% 14.6% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.9% 7.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortsmouthWatford
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack27%45%
Defense55%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portsmouth Watford
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%25%29%50%0%29%
Draws0%50%29%25%33%29%
Loses67%25%43%25%67%43%

Form: Portsmouth: WLDWDLL • Watford: LWDDLLW

League goals

Metric Portsmouth Watford
HATHAT
GF total235617
GF avg0.70.80.71.50.31.0
GA total437538
GA avg1.30.81.01.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortsmouthWatford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%57%100%
1.50%43%43%14%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortsmouthWatford
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricPortsmouthWatford
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPortsmouthWatford
Wins11
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-12-1
Biggest losses0-22-10-11-0
Goals For1121
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricPortsmouthWatford
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.5%49.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Portsmouth or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ SBO
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Portsmouth = 0.53 (league 1.31), Watford = 0.36 (league 1.10)

Watford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth 0 41.1% 14.6% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.9% 7.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.5% · Draw 49.3% · Away win 19.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1