Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 18:45 • The Den
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.31) 3.56 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.7% 5.7% 77.6%
best score tips
0 - 3
14.5%
0 - 4
12.9%
0 - 2
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Coventry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 1.9% 6.9% 12.2% 14.5% 12.9% 9.2%
1 0.8% 2.7% 4.8% 5.7% 5.0% 3.6%
2 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMillwallCoventry
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack36%100%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Millwall Coventry
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%50%43%50%33%43%
Draws0%50%29%50%67%57%
Loses67%0%29%0%0%0%

Form: Millwall: WLWLDWD • Coventry: DWWDDDW

League goals

Metric Millwall Coventry
HATHAT
GF total15611718
GF avg0.31.30.92.82.32.6
GA total538257
GA avg1.70.81.10.51.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMillwallCoventry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%71%57%
1.514%29%57%29%
2.50%14%43%14%
3.50%0%29%0%
4.50%0%29%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMillwallCoventry
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score202112

Penalties

MetricMillwallCoventry
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMillwallCoventry
Wins12
Draws13
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-27-13-5
Biggest losses0-3
Goals For1275
Goals Against3113

Model comparison

MetricMillwallCoventry
Form47%53%
Att24%76%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution13%88%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total32.2%68.0%

Advice: Winner : Coventry

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.80 @ Betano
Draw3.58 @ Marathonbet
Away2.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.94 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Superbet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Millwall = 0.39 (league 1.31), Coventry = 3.56 (league 1.10)

Coventry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 1.9% 6.9% 12.2% 14.5% 12.9% 9.2%
1 0.8% 2.7% 4.8% 5.7% 5.0% 3.6%
2 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.7% · Draw 5.7% · Away win 77.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1