Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • The Den
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.23 (league 1.31) 3.14 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.2% 6.4% 82.5%
best score tips
0 - 3
17.8%
0 - 2
17.0%
0 - 4
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
West Brom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 3.4% 10.8% 17.0% 17.8% 14.0% 8.8%
1 0.8% 2.5% 3.9% 4.1% 3.2% 2.0%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMillwallWest Brom
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack27%36%
Defense27%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Millwall West Brom
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%50%38%25%75%50%
Draws0%50%25%50%0%25%
Loses75%0%38%25%25%25%

Form: Millwall: WLWLDWDL • West Brom: WWDWLLDW

League goals

Metric Millwall West Brom
HATHAT
GF total156369
GF avg0.31.30.80.81.51.1
GA total9312347
GA avg2.30.81.50.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMillwallWest Brom
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%88%63%
1.513%38%13%25%
2.50%25%13%0%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMillwallWest Brom
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score303101

Penalties

MetricMillwallWest Brom
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMillwallWest Brom
Wins12
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-21-02-3
Biggest losses0-40-12-1
Goals For1213
Goals Against4112

Model comparison

MetricMillwallWest Brom
Form42%58%
Att43%57%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution7%93%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total37.5%62.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or West Brom

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 10Bet
Away2.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Millwall = 0.23 (league 1.31), West Brom = 3.14 (league 1.10)

West Brom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 3.4% 10.8% 17.0% 17.8% 14.0% 8.8%
1 0.8% 2.5% 3.9% 4.1% 3.2% 2.0%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.2% · Draw 6.4% · Away win 82.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1