Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Ashton Gate Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.21 (league 1.31) 2.06 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.3% 15.8% 21.5%
best score tips
3 - 2
6.0%
3 - 1
5.8%
2 - 2
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
QPR
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City 0 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.6% 3.4% 3.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
2 2.6% 5.5% 5.6% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
3 2.8% 5.8% 6.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
4 2.3% 4.7% 4.8% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.5% 3.0% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBristol CityQPR
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack90%80%
Defense40%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bristol City QPR
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%50%38%50%25%38%
Draws50%50%50%50%25%38%
Loses25%0%13%0%50%25%

Form: Bristol City: WDDWWLDD • QPR: DLLWWWDD

League goals

Metric Bristol City QPR
HATHAT
GF total68145611
GF avg1.52.01.81.31.51.4
GA total62821113
GA avg1.50.51.00.52.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBristol CityQPR
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%88%75%
1.538%25%25%25%
2.538%13%25%13%
3.525%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBristol CityQPR
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricBristol CityQPR
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBristol CityQPR
Wins23
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-43-11-3
Biggest losses1-3——7-1
Goals For4433
Goals Against3117

Model comparison

MetricBristol CityQPR
Form42%58%
Att53%47%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Bristol City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ William Hill
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away4.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bristol City = 3.21 (league 1.31), QPR = 2.06 (league 1.09)

QPR
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City 0 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.6% 3.4% 3.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
2 2.6% 5.5% 5.6% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
3 2.8% 5.8% 6.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
4 2.3% 4.7% 4.8% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.5% 3.0% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 21.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1