Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:30 • Ewood Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.36) 2.28 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.0% 13.3% 80.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
20.6%
0 - 1
18.0%
0 - 3
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Stoke City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Blackburn 0 7.9% 18.0% 20.6% 15.6% 8.9% 4.1%
1 2.0% 4.6% 5.3% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0%
2 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBlackburnStoke City
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack45%18%
Defense36%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Blackburn Stoke City
HATHAT
Played347448
Wins0%50%29%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%25%25%25%
Loses100%50%71%25%25%25%

Form: Blackburn: LLWLWLL • Stoke City: WWWLWLDD

League goals

Metric Blackburn Stoke City
HATHAT
GF total2465510
GF avg0.71.00.91.31.31.3
GA total6410325
GA avg2.01.01.40.80.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBlackburnStoke City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%63%63%
1.514%57%38%0%
2.514%14%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBlackburnStoke City
HATHAT
Clean sheets022123
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricBlackburnStoke City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBlackburnStoke City
Wins13
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-33-10-3
Biggest losses0-23-00-11-0
Goals For1333
Goals Against2311

Model comparison

MetricBlackburnStoke City
Form55%45%
Att71%29%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution12%88%
H2h40%60%
Goals53%47%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Stoke City and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Superbet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Unibet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Blackburn = 0.26 (league 1.36), Stoke City = 2.28 (league 1.14)

Stoke City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Blackburn 0 7.9% 18.0% 20.6% 15.6% 8.9% 4.1%
1 2.0% 4.6% 5.3% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0%
2 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.0% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 80.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1