Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Vicarage Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.31) 1.54 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.3% 24.2% 38.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
8.6%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Oxford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 4.9% 7.5% 5.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4%
1 7.2% 11.1% 8.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.2% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.6% 4.1% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWatfordOxford United
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack55%64%
Defense36%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Watford Oxford United
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%0%25%0%25%13%
Draws25%50%38%50%25%38%
Loses25%50%38%50%50%50%

Form: Watford: LWDDLLWD • Oxford United: LLLDDWLD

League goals

Metric Watford Oxford United
HATHAT
GF total639459
GF avg1.50.81.11.01.31.1
GA total55106511
GA avg1.31.31.31.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWatfordOxford United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%100%50%88%
1.550%25%50%38%
2.50%0%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWatfordOxford United
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricWatfordOxford United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWatfordOxford United
Wins11
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-3
Biggest losses0-11-00-13-2
Goals For2223
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricWatfordOxford United
Form45%55%
Att46%54%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Watford = 1.48 (league 1.31), Oxford United = 1.54 (league 1.10)

Oxford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 4.9% 7.5% 5.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4%
1 7.2% 11.1% 8.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.2% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.6% 4.1% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 38.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1