Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Swansea.com Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.31) 1.18 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.9% 27.1% 33.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
10.9%
0 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Leicester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swansea 0 8.4% 9.9% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.9% 12.9% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwanseaLeicester
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack64%55%
Defense55%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swansea Leicester
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%50%38%50%25%38%
Draws75%0%38%50%50%50%
Loses0%50%25%0%25%13%

Form: Swansea: LWDWDLDW • Leicester: WLWWDDDD

League goals

Metric Swansea Leicester
HATHAT
GF total5495510
GF avg1.31.01.11.31.31.3
GA total437257
GA avg1.00.80.90.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwanseaLeicester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%88%63%
1.538%13%38%25%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwanseaLeicester
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricSwanseaLeicester
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSwanseaLeicester
Wins12
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-22-00-1
Biggest losses1-02-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricSwanseaLeicester
Form53%47%
Att54%46%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leicester

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Swansea = 1.29 (league 1.31), Leicester = 1.18 (league 1.10)

Leicester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swansea 0 8.4% 9.9% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.9% 12.9% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 33.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1