Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 19:00 • Riverside Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.31) 0.19 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.1% 44.2% 8.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.4%
1 - 0
29.4%
2 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Ipswich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middlesbrough 0 38.4% 7.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.4% 5.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.3% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMiddlesbroughIpswich
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack31%81%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Middlesbrough Ipswich
HATHAT
Played459538
Wins75%40%56%60%0%38%
Draws25%40%33%40%67%50%
Loses0%20%11%0%33%13%

Form: Middlesbrough: WWWWDWDDL • Ipswich: DDLDWWDW

League goals

Metric Middlesbrough Ipswich
HATHAT
GF total481213215
GF avg1.01.61.32.60.71.9
GA total156538
GA avg0.31.00.71.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMiddlesbroughIpswich
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%88%88%
1.544%11%50%13%
2.511%0%25%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMiddlesbroughIpswich
HATHAT
Clean sheets314101
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricMiddlesbroughIpswich
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricMiddlesbroughIpswich
Wins42
Draws22
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-35-0
Biggest losses1-01-0
Goals For2351
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricMiddlesbroughIpswich
Form35%65%
Att28%72%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Middlesbrough or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Middlesbrough = 0.77 (league 1.31), Ipswich = 0.19 (league 1.10)

Ipswich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middlesbrough 0 38.4% 7.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.4% 5.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.3% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.1% · Draw 44.2% · Away win 8.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1