Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Bet365 Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.36) 1.26 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 27.0% 36.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Wrexham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City 0 8.2% 10.3% 6.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.1% 12.8% 8.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.3% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStoke CityWrexham
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack19%44%
Defense81%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stoke City Wrexham
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%40%44%0%50%22%
Draws25%40%33%60%25%44%
Loses25%20%22%40%25%33%

Form: Stoke City: WWWLWLDDD • Wrexham: LLDWLWDDD

League goals

Metric Stoke City Wrexham
HATHAT
GF total56117714
GF avg1.31.21.21.41.81.6
GA total33610515
GA avg0.80.60.72.01.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStoke CityWrexham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%89%
1.533%0%44%56%
2.522%0%11%22%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStoke CityWrexham
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricStoke CityWrexham
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricStoke CityWrexham
Wins31
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-3—0-2
Biggest losses0-11-01-32-1
Goals For3323
Goals Against1132

Model comparison

MetricStoke CityWrexham
Form50%50%
Att30%70%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total56.6%43.4%

Advice: Double chance : Stoke City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.54 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stoke City = 1.24 (league 1.36), Wrexham = 1.26 (league 1.14)

Wrexham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City 0 8.2% 10.3% 6.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.1% 12.8% 8.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.3% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 36.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1