Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:45 • Deepdale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.31) 0.33 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.2% 21.5% 6.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.3%
2 - 0
19.1%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Birmingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Preston 0 13.1% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.3% 7.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.1% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.9% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPrestonBirmingham
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack55%55%
Defense64%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Preston Birmingham
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%20%40%40%20%30%
Draws40%40%40%40%20%30%
Loses0%40%20%20%60%40%

Form: Preston: DWWLDWDDWL • Birmingham: DWWLLWLDDL

League goals

Metric Preston Birmingham
HATHAT
GF total75127310
GF avg1.41.01.21.40.61.0
GA total3696814
GA avg0.61.20.91.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePrestonBirmingham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%70%80%
1.540%30%30%40%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPrestonBirmingham
HATHAT
Clean sheets314202
Failed to score112033

Penalties

MetricPrestonBirmingham
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPrestonBirmingham
Wins22
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-11-01-2
Biggest losses2-12-33-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricPrestonBirmingham
Form62%38%
Att50%50%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total61.2%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Preston or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away2.70 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.61 @ SBO
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Preston = 1.71 (league 1.31), Birmingham = 0.33 (league 1.10)

Birmingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Preston 0 13.1% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.3% 7.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.1% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.9% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.2% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 6.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1