Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 19:00 • Ashton Gate Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.38) 2.01 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.9% 21.4% 45.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City 0 2.6% 5.3% 5.3% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
1 4.3% 8.6% 8.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.2%
2 3.5% 7.0% 7.0% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0%
3 1.9% 3.8% 3.8% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBristol CitySouthampton
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack36%45%
Defense45%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bristol City Southampton
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%60%40%20%20%20%
Draws40%40%40%60%60%60%
Loses40%0%20%20%20%20%

Form: Bristol City: WDDWWLDDLW • Southampton: WDLDDLDWDD

League goals

Metric Bristol City Southampton
HATHAT
GF total79164711
GF avg1.41.81.60.81.41.1
GA total82104812
GA avg1.60.41.00.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBristol CitySouthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%80%80%
1.530%30%30%30%
2.530%10%0%10%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBristol CitySouthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets134202
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricBristol CitySouthampton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBristol CitySouthampton
Wins21
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-42-11-2
Biggest losses1-3—1-23-1
Goals For4422
Goals Against3123

Model comparison

MetricBristol CitySouthampton
Form45%55%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h60%40%
Goals60%40%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : Bristol City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Unibet
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away2.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bristol City = 1.62 (league 1.38), Southampton = 2.01 (league 1.11)

Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City 0 2.6% 5.3% 5.3% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
1 4.3% 8.6% 8.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.2%
2 3.5% 7.0% 7.0% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0%
3 1.9% 3.8% 3.8% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.9% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 45.3%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1