Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • The Den
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.37) 2.00 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.2% 21.1% 60.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
10.5%
0 - 2
10.5%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Leicester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 5.3% 10.5% 10.5% 7.0% 3.5% 1.4%
1 5.0% 10.0% 9.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.4% 4.7% 4.7% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6%
3 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMillwallLeicester
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack73%64%
Defense45%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Millwall Leicester
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins50%60%55%40%33%36%
Draws0%40%18%60%33%45%
Loses50%0%27%0%33%18%

Form: Millwall: WLWLDWDLWWW • Leicester: WLWWDDDDWDL

League goals

Metric Millwall Leicester
HATHAT
GF total67136915
GF avg1.01.41.21.21.51.4
GA total94133811
GA avg1.50.81.20.61.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMillwallLeicester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%64%91%73%
1.536%27%36%27%
2.59%18%9%0%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMillwallLeicester
HATHAT
Clean sheets314213
Failed to score303101

Penalties

MetricMillwallLeicester
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMillwallLeicester
Wins12
Draws14
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-01-3
Biggest losses0-4——2-1
Goals For3223
Goals Against4112

Model comparison

MetricMillwallLeicester
Form63%38%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h40%60%
Goals43%57%
Total47.7%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leicester

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Dafabet
Away2.68 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Millwall = 0.95 (league 1.37), Leicester = 2.00 (league 1.13)

Leicester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 5.3% 10.5% 10.5% 7.0% 3.5% 1.4%
1 5.0% 10.0% 9.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.4% 4.7% 4.7% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6%
3 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.2% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 60.1%

vtt 9 , vtd1