Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 11:30 • Coventry Building Society Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.36) 0.21 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.0% 12.7% 2.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
21.5%
1 - 0
18.8%
3 - 0
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
Watford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coventry 0 8.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.8% 4.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.5% 4.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.4% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.4% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCoventryWatford
Played55
Form100%67%
Attack100%73%
Defense91%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Coventry Watford
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%67%64%67%0%36%
Draws40%33%36%17%40%27%
Loses0%0%0%17%60%36%

Form: Coventry: DWWDDDWWWWW • Watford: LWDDLLWDWLW

League goals

Metric Coventry Watford
HATHAT
GF total13183110313
GF avg2.63.02.81.70.61.2
GA total2687613
GA avg0.41.00.71.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCoventryWatford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%45%64%100%
1.573%18%55%18%
2.545%9%0%0%
3.536%0%0%0%
4.527%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCoventryWatford
HATHAT
Clean sheets336000
Failed to score112134

Penalties

MetricCoventryWatford
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCoventryWatford
Wins21
Draws32
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-10-52-1—
Biggest losses——0-11-0
Goals For7522
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricCoventryWatford
Form60%40%
Att67%33%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h75%25%
Goals56%44%
Total72.8%27.2%

Advice: Winner : Coventry

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.70 @ Dafabet
Away6.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Coventry = 2.29 (league 1.36), Watford = 0.21 (league 1.14)

Watford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coventry 0 8.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.8% 4.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.5% 4.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.4% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.4% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.0% · Draw 12.7% · Away win 2.4%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1