Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Ashton Gate Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.31) 0.95 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.0% 24.1% 21.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Birmingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City 0 7.1% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.0% 11.4% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.7% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBristol CityBirmingham
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack60%60%
Defense60%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bristol City Birmingham
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins33%60%45%40%33%36%
Draws33%40%36%40%17%27%
Loses33%0%18%20%50%36%

Form: Bristol City: WDDWWLDDLWW • Birmingham: DWWLLWLDDLW

League goals

Metric Bristol City Birmingham
HATHAT
GF total109197411
GF avg1.71.81.71.40.71.0
GA total92116814
GA avg1.50.41.01.21.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBristol CityBirmingham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%64%73%73%
1.536%27%27%36%
2.536%9%0%18%
3.518%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBristol CityBirmingham
HATHAT
Clean sheets134213
Failed to score112033

Penalties

MetricBristol CityBirmingham
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricBristol CityBirmingham
Wins22
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-41-01-2
Biggest losses1-32-33-0
Goals For4422
Goals Against3133

Model comparison

MetricBristol CityBirmingham
Form62%38%
Att50%50%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Bristol City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ Dafabet
Draw3.40 @ Dafabet
Away3.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Betano
Under 2.51.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bristol City = 1.69 (league 1.31), Birmingham = 0.95 (league 1.10)

Birmingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City 0 7.1% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.0% 11.4% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.7% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 21.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1