Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:00 • St. Mary's Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.38) 0.72 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.3% 38.1% 31.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.3%
0 - 1
17.5%
1 - 0
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
Preston
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 24.3% 17.5% 6.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.9% 12.2% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthamptonPreston
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack33%53%
Defense53%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southampton Preston
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins20%14%17%57%20%42%
Draws60%43%50%29%40%33%
Loses20%43%33%14%40%25%

Form: Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLL • Preston: DWWLDWDDWLLW

League goals

Metric Southampton Preston
HATHAT
GF total491310515
GF avg0.81.31.11.41.01.3
GA total413176612
GA avg0.81.91.40.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthamptonPreston
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%75%67%
1.525%42%42%33%
2.50%17%8%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthamptonPreston
HATHAT
Clean sheets202314
Failed to score202213

Penalties

MetricSouthamptonPreston
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSouthamptonPreston
Wins12
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-22-00-1
Biggest losses1-23-10-12-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricSouthamptonPreston
Form42%58%
Att38%62%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h88%13%
Goals70%30%
Total56.8%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Southampton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away4.78 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Pinnacle
No1.98 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southampton = 0.70 (league 1.38), Preston = 0.72 (league 1.11)

Preston
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 24.3% 17.5% 6.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.9% 12.2% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 38.1% · Away win 31.6%

vtt 12 , vtd1