Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:00 • Bet365 Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.36) 0.95 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.4% 37.2% 49.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.3%
0 - 1
25.8%
0 - 2
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City 0 27.3% 25.8% 12.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.6% 9.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStoke CityBristol City
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack20%47%
Defense80%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stoke City Bristol City
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins60%43%50%43%60%50%
Draws20%29%25%29%40%33%
Loses20%29%25%29%0%17%

Form: Stoke City: WWWLWLDDDWLW • Bristol City: WDDWWLDDLWWW

League goals

Metric Stoke City Bristol City
HATHAT
GF total671311920
GF avg1.21.01.11.61.81.7
GA total3589211
GA avg0.60.70.71.30.40.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStoke CityBristol City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%58%83%58%
1.525%8%33%25%
2.517%0%33%8%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStoke CityBristol City
HATHAT
Clean sheets235235
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricStoke CityBristol City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricStoke CityBristol City
Wins32
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-21-4
Biggest losses0-12-01-3—
Goals For3344
Goals Against1231

Model comparison

MetricStoke CityBristol City
Form44%56%
Att30%70%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bristol City and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.09 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stoke City = 0.35 (league 1.36), Bristol City = 0.95 (league 1.14)

Bristol City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City 0 27.3% 25.8% 12.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.6% 9.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.4% · Draw 37.2% · Away win 49.4%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1