Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:00 • Vicarage Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.36) 1.60 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.5% 25.0% 50.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Middlesbrough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 7.4% 11.9% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7%
1 7.4% 11.9% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7%
2 3.7% 5.9% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWatfordMiddlesbrough
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack47%27%
Defense47%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Watford Middlesbrough
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%0%33%67%50%58%
Draws17%33%25%33%33%33%
Loses17%67%42%0%17%8%

Form: Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWL • Middlesbrough: WWWWDWDDLWWD

League goals

Metric Watford Middlesbrough
HATHAT
GF total104147916
GF avg1.70.71.21.21.51.3
GA total7916358
GA avg1.21.51.30.50.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWatfordMiddlesbrough
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%83%58%
1.550%25%42%8%
2.50%8%8%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWatfordMiddlesbrough
HATHAT
Clean sheets000325
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricWatfordMiddlesbrough
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricWatfordMiddlesbrough
Wins14
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-10-3
Biggest losses0-13-1—1-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricWatfordMiddlesbrough
Form47%53%
Att64%36%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Watford = 1.00 (league 1.36), Middlesbrough = 1.60 (league 1.12)

Middlesbrough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 7.4% 11.9% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7%
1 7.4% 11.9% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7%
2 3.7% 5.9% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.5% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 50.9%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1